7/08/2018

A monetary union cannot work without also being a political union

Nicholas Kaldor prescient in 1971:
"… Some day the nations of Europe may be ready to merge their national identities and create a new European Union – the United States of Europe. If and when they do, a European Government will take over all the functions which the Federal government now provides in the U.S., or in Canada or Australia. This will involve the creation of a “full economic and monetary union”. But it is a dangerous error to believe that monetary and economic union can precede a political union or that it will act (in the words of the Werner report) “as a leaven for the evolvement of a political union which in the long run it will in any case be unable to do without”. For if the creation of a monetary union and Community control over national budgets generates pressures which lead to a breakdown of the whole system it will prevent the development of a political union, not promote it."
[italics in original]

Wynne Godley in 1992:
"If a country or region has no power to devalue, and if it is not the beneficiary of a system of fiscal equalisation, then there is nothing to stop it suffering a process of cumulative and terminal decline leading, in the end, to emigration as the only alternative to poverty or starvation. I sympathise with the position of those (like Margaret Thatcher) who, faced with the loss of sovereignty, wish to get off the EMU train altogether. I also sympathise with those who seek integration under the jurisdiction of some kind of federal constitution with a federal budget very much larger than that of the Community budget. What I find totally baffling is the position of those who are aiming for economic and monetary union without the creation of new political institutions (apart from a new central bank), and who raise their hands in horror at the words ‘federal’ or ‘federalism’. This is the position currently adopted by the Government and by most of those who take part in the public discussion."

Lars P. Syll in 2018:
"There would, of course, be huge problems of turning the European Union into a kind of United States of Europe. And when the peoples of Europe are asked about the prospect, a clear majority says no.
Turning the eurozone into a political-fiscal union would give a couple of countries — especially Germany — the power to more or less dictate earlier sovereign countries’ taxes and spendings.
The peoples of Europe do not want to deprive themselves of economic and political autonomy. They do not want to be enforced to lower wages and slash social welfare at the slightest sign of economic distress. Increasing income inequality and a federal überstate is not the stuff that our dreams are made of."

Keine Kommentare:

Kommentar veröffentlichen

Hinweis: Nur ein Mitglied dieses Blogs kann Kommentare posten.